Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Raul V. Fabella Author-Name-First: Raul Author-Name-Last: Fabella Author-Workplace-Name: School of Economics, University of the Philippines Diliman Author-Name: Geoffrey Ducanes Author-Name-First: Geoffrey Author-Name-Last: Ducanes Title: Power Industry Disruptors and Prospects of the Electricity Demand in the Greater Metro-Manila Area Abstract: The power industry is being severely disrupted globally and local industry stakeholders have every reason to be worried. The question is how stakeholder capital should henceforth be deployed to reduce the risk of stranded assets. This study is undertaken to assess the impact of power industry disruptors on the near-term prospect of the electricity demand in the most important submarket of the Philippine power market, the greater Metro-Manila area. The emphasis is on the impact of technology disruptors, especially of solar photovoltaic generation and storage, on top of and in conjunction with policy disruptors. Part One tackles firstly the risks to sustained economic and income growth which will, in turn, impact on the demand for electricity?the macro-economic risks, the global risks, and the policy risks; secondly the risks internal to the electricity industry itself?the technology disruptors especially coming from growing adoption of rooftop and mini-grid solar photovoltaic installations and battery storage. The challenge of solar distributed generation counsels a more sober outlook and a more inclusive portfolio diversification by centralized power generation capitalists. Part Two employs an error correction model to forecast the growth of aggregate and disaggregate (by customer types) demand in a distribution utility franchise, in this case, the Meralco franchise, over the next five years. This model can be adopted as benchmark and adapted by industry stakeholders especially other distribution utility franchises for their own forecasts which should inform the rate setting exercise between the distribution utilities and the regulator, the Energy Regulatory Commission. Length: 49 pages Creation-Date: 2019-03 Publication-Status: Published as UPSE Discussion Paper No. 2019-01, March 2019 File-URL: https://www.econ.upd.edu.ph/dp/index.php/dp/article/view/1520/999 File-Format: Application/pdf Number: 201901 Classification-JEL: C53, Q47, Q43 Keywords: Electricity demand; Forecast methods; Distributed Solar Photovoltaic; Rooftop and Mini-grid systems; Policy disruptors Handle: RePEc:phs:dpaper:201901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Edita A. Tan Author-Name-First: Edita Author-Name-Last: Tan Author-Workplace-Name: School of Economics, University of the Philippines Diliman Title: Prospects of Philippine Migration Abstract: The paper briefly surveys recent migration policies in major destinations of Filipino migrants and tries to see their effect on migration flows in the past two decades. Most Western OECD economies have heightened their restrictive immigration programs that covered not only those relating to workers but also those for family unification. Their admission for employment is restricted to the highly skilled/highly educated labor. Despite the tightening of policy, emigration to Western OECD increased in the past three decades. Emigration to the US has been declining but emigration to other countries, though relatively small, rose. Saudi Arabia, the largest employer of foreign workers in the Gulf adopted the Nitaqat policy of imposing higher national to foreign labor ratio in the private sector. This may explain the drop in the flow of labor to the GCC in 2015 and 2016. The drop could be a temporary fluctuation as the state could not easily develop sufficient number of skilled and disciplined citizens to replace foreign labor. The GCC states� heavy dependence on foreign labor is expected to continue. The skill composition of foreign workers may change depending on their future economic and social development. Length: 24 pages Creation-Date: 2019-06 Publication-Status: Published as UPSE Discussion Paper No. 2019-02, June 2019 File-URL: https://www.econ.upd.edu.ph/dp/index.php/dp/article/view/1521/1000 File-Format: Application/pdf Number: 201902 Classification-JEL: J08, J15, J61 Keywords: migration; Philippines Handle: RePEc:phs:dpaper:201902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: C Magno Author-Name-First: C Author-Name-Last: Magno Author-Workplace-Name: School of Economics, University of the Philippines Diliman Author-Name: J Morillo Author-Name-First: J Author-Name-Last: Morillo Author-Workplace-Name: National Institute of Geological Sciences, University of the Philippines Diliman Title: Case Studies on the Water Use of Large Scale Mining in the Philippines Abstract: Water use is one of the most critical sustainability issues of the mining sector. It is important in each stage of the mining life cycle. The water use of the mine can introduce significant ecological changes. It can compete with the water use of households living in the community and other economic activities in the area. We look at the water use of two large scale mining companies and communities in Didipio, Nueva Viscaya and Taganito, Surigao del Norte. We compare water extraction with various factors such as mineral production, land use, rehabilitation, mine development, and environmental concerns. Based on our initial findings, the rate of water extraction of the two mines is significantly correlated with the level of mine development, rehabilitation and pollution control. In both cases, household consumption plays a minimal role in driving the demand for water. Length: 47 pages Creation-Date: 2019-10 Publication-Status: Published as UPSE Discussion Paper No. 2019-03, October 2019 File-URL: https://www.econ.upd.edu.ph/dp/index.php/dp/article/view/1522/1002 File-Format: Application/pdf Number: 201903 Classification-JEL: Q56, Q58, Q59 Keywords: mining; water use; water extraction; Philippines Handle: RePEc:phs:dpaper:201903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Ian Nicole A. Generalao Author-Name-First: Ian Nicole Author-Name-Last: Generalao Author-Workplace-Name: UP School of Economics, University of the Philippines Diliman Title: Mapping tasks to occupations using Philippine data Abstract: Treating occupations as bundles of tasks rather than discrete categories is the central idea upon which the "task approach" to labor market analysis is built. To apply the framework, this paper maps the 3,279 task characteristics of occupations using the International Standard Classification of Occupations 2008 (ISCO-08) to derive the task portfolios of 424 occupations listed under the Philippine Standard Occupational Classification (PSOC). These portfolios allow us to measure how intensive an occupation is in performing different tasks (e.g. non-routine analytical, non-routine interpersonal, non-routine manual, routine cognitive and routine manual). The main contribution of this paper is the task portfolios of the 424 occupations, which can be a starting point for further studies on the implications of automation, immigration, and international offshoring on employment and the returns to specific skills, not just in the Philippines but also for countries which base their local occupational codes to the ISCO. Length: 394 pages Creation-Date: 2019-11 Publication-Status: Published as UPSE Discussion Paper No. 2019-04, November 2019 File-URL: https://www.econ.upd.edu.ph/dp/index.php/dp/article/view/1523 File-Format: Application/pdf Number: 201904 Classification-JEL: J24, J01, J20 Keywords: Tasks, Skills, Human Capital, Labor Market Data Handle: RePEc:phs:dpaper:201904